Training Science Heart Rate Critical Speed Training Zones Running Physiology

Why You Can't Just Rely on Heart Rate or Pace

For decades, runners have trained by heart rate and pace alone. But these metrics lie. Discover why Critical Speed, D-prime, and lactate thresholds provide a science-based foundation for smarter training.

Published September 26, 2025 3 min read
Why You Can't Just Rely on Heart Rate or Pace

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Why You Can't Just Rely on Heart Rate or Pace

For decades, runners have trained by two simple metrics: heart rate and pace. Heart rate zones. Target race pace. Easy miles by feel.

It's simple. It's popular. But here's the problem: heart rate and pace lie.

Used alone, they don't tell you what's really happening inside your body.

The Myth: "Heart Rate and Pace Are Enough"

Heart rate (HR) tells you how hard your heart is working.

Pace tells you how fast you're moving.

That should be enough to guide training, right? Not quite. Both are influenced by too many outside factors.

Why Heart Rate Alone Fails

HR Lags Behind Effort

  • It takes 30–90 seconds for HR to "catch up" to intensity
  • In short intervals, you're training blind

HR Is Affected by More Than Exercise

  • Sleep, caffeine, heat, dehydration, stress — all elevate HR
  • That 140 bpm on Tuesday might not mean the same as 140 bpm on Friday

Formulas Are Inaccurate

  • HRmax equations (e.g. 220 − age) are ±10–20 bpm off for many people (Tanaka et al., 2001)
  • That's enough to completely mislabel your zones

Why Pace Alone Fails

Terrain and Conditions Change Everything

  • 5:00/km on the flat ≠ 5:00/km uphill into a headwind

Fatigue Shifts Your Thresholds

  • A pace that's "easy" one week can push you above LT1 the next if you're tired

Two Athletes, Same Pace, Different Stress

  • For one, 4:30/km might be under Critical Speed
  • For another, it's way above → draining anaerobic reserve

👉 Same pace. Completely different physiological cost.

The Science-Based Alternative

Instead of relying only on HR or pace, endurance science gives us better anchors:

  • Critical Speed (CS): Your true sustainable red line
  • D′ (Anaerobic Battery): How much time you can last above CS
  • Lactate Thresholds (LT1, LT2): Define where "easy" ends and "hard" begins
  • VO₂max and Drift: Show aerobic ceiling and efficiency

👉 Nixon et al. (2021) confirmed CS correlates more closely with sustainable performance than VO₂max or HRmax (PMC8505327).

Real Example

Runner A: CS = 4:05/km. At 4:30/km, HR = 145. → Aerobic.

Runner B: CS = 4:45/km. At 4:30/km, HR = 150. → Above CS, draining D′.

Same pace. Similar HR. Two totally different outcomes.

How to Train Smarter

Use HR and Pace as Tools, Not Masters

  • HR + pace are useful for monitoring, but not for defining zones

Anchor Zones to Physiology

  • Field tests (CS, D′, drift) show where your zones really are
  • Lab tests (VO₂max, lactate) confirm thresholds precisely

Combine Data for Context

  • Pace + HR + CS + thresholds = a full picture

How Run Pace Pal Helps

Run Pace Pal takes you beyond HR and pace:

  • VO₂max Builder: 6-min test → personalised zones
  • Critical Speed Test: CS + D′ from 20-min protocol
  • Zone 2 Drift Analysis: Proves if your "easy" pace is truly aerobic
  • Workout Builders: Sessions tied to your physiology, not guesswork

👉 Start testing: Run Pace Pal

Where Box Nutrition Fits

For runners chasing maximum precision, Box Nutrition:

  • Tests VO₂max directly
  • Profiles lactate to find LT1 and LT2
  • Provides consultancy to integrate lab + field data

👉 Book here: boxnutrition.co.uk

Key Takeaways

HR lags and is influenced by lifestyle factors

Pace ignores terrain, fatigue, and physiology

Alone, they mislead your training

CS, D′, and thresholds provide a science-based foundation

Run Pace Pal applies this in the field

Box Nutrition validates it in the lab

Stop training by guesswork. Start training by physiology.


Ready to move beyond heart rate zones and pace targets? Start your assessment and discover your true training zones based on science, not formulas.

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Topics Covered

Training Science Heart Rate Critical Speed Training Zones Running Physiology

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